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Red4
10470.4
41.4
17590.7
Blue1
9801.2
8480.7
11381.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#56
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1138
#13
1.30.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1759
#52
0.70.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
980
#27
1.20.1
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1047
#45
0.40.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
848
#38
0.70.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End