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Red3
15150.8
30211.6
11381.3
Blue2
31201.0
17590.7
32950.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41026810121432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3021
#10
1.60.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3120
#29
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
#13
1.30.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1759
#52
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#17
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3295
#58
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto
Teleop
End