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Red3
5800.6
22721.2
33090.5
Blue0
11480.8
23390.9
26371.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2272
#23
1.20.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2637
#11
1.90.3
1.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
580
#36
0.60.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2339
#39
0.90.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3309
#33
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1148
#15
0.80.3
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End