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Red0
33330.5
15830.2
29720.0
Blue2
11570.3
16192.0
13570.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120123456702

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3333
#10
0.50.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2.00.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.20.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1357
#20
0.60.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2972
#39
0.00.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1157
#11
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End