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Red4
11582.4
22590.1
1590.7
Blue1
14100.5
18170.8
22750.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681012141641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2275
#17
0.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
#15
0.70.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1817
#23
0.80.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2259
#29
0.10.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1410
#22
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End