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Qual 252010 Curie Division
Red8
20412.8
13981.3
15382.8
Blue7
16492.1
17471.5
1411.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2041
#28
2.80.2
1.4→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
1649
#35
2.10.2
1.6→1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1538
#23
2.80.2
2.0→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
1747
#52
1.50.2
1.0→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1398
#48
1.30.2
1.1→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
141
#81
1.20.2
1.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—