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Red5
13792.3
26302.5
32841.2
Blue11
15382.8
3862.5
34050.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5502481012511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#36
2.50.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1538
#23
2.80.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
#30
2.30.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
386
#29
2.50.3
2.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3284
#75
1.20.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3405
#44
0.60.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End