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Red3
32460.6
29630.3
15290.4
Blue4
23630.7
31540.6
10241.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3246
#11
0.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1024
#19
1.50.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1529
#57
0.40.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2363
#32
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2963
#50
0.30.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3154
#16
0.60.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End