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Red3
33730.8
6140.6
18490.6
Blue1
32790.2
25370.6
32981.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#33
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3298
#29
1.20.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1849
#28
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2537
#47
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
614
#7
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3279
#44
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End