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Red0
20500.3
3020.5
29601.6
Blue1
1230.7
30961.0
1506-0.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102345601

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#22
1.60.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3096
#16
1.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
#28
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
123
#27
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2050
#32
0.30.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1506
#20
-0.20.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End