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Red2
26760.2
28511.1
5151.0
Blue2
26730.7
2800.5
2400.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2673
#26
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
#12
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
240
#13
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#34
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
280
#14
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End