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Red5
3130.6
30981.0
17182.3
Blue3
3020.5
3140.5
30961.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210246853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.2
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3096
#16
1.00.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3098
#10
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
314
#23
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
313
#8
0.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
302
#28
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End