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Red3
17182.3
26730.7
31190.5
Blue0
33980.3
31750.3
9030.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30246830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
903
#24
0.40.0
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
#26
0.70.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3398
#18
0.30.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3119
#15
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3175
#25
0.30.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End