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Red3
2261.8
17182.3
2400.6
Blue6
26121.7
3081.9
26730.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions540268101236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
308
#7
1.90.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
#4
1.80.0
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
240
#13
0.60.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2673
#26
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End