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Red4
31150.8
26201.1
5481.6
Blue1
21371.1
22240.1
31750.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20246841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#18
1.60.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2137
#21
1.10.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2620
#12
1.10.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3175
#20
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#14
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2224
#29
0.10.0
-0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End