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Red2
16831.1
14140.7
13110.5
Blue0
24200.4
20070.2
30910.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#40
1.10.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2420
#36
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1414
#47
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3091
#31
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
#12
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2007
#32
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End