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Red3
19990.7
32141.0
29670.4
Blue1
2393-0.1
3420.8
17880.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12024681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.00.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
342
#39
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1999
#33
0.70.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1788
#14
0.40.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2967
#41
0.40.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2393
#38
-0.10.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End