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Red0
20380.3
12610.6
29740.6
Blue2
31740.4
17460.9
18481.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220468101202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#20
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
0.90.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2038
#45
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3174
#37
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End