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Red1
31391.1
32650.7
14150.3
Blue2
21190.8
19990.7
29180.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3139
#30
1.10.8
1.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2918
#27
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3265
#44
0.70.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2119
#22
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1415
#26
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1999
#33
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End