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Red2
24150.7
33190.6
13790.6
Blue5
2810.7
33290.5
14662.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234567825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#48
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2.30.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
#15
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
281
#10
0.70.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3319
#25
0.60.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3329
#42
0.50.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End