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Red8
17111.7
10231.4
4942.5
Blue12
33981.1
3083.1
2263.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37026810121416812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#39
2.50.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
226
#30
3.20.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1711
#44
1.70.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
308
#40
3.10.3
2.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1023
#45
1.40.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3398
#32
1.10.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End