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Red6
851.2
25861.9
8301.3
Blue4
33570.8
8580.3
32341.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4206810121464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
Unranked
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3234
Unranked
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3357
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
85
Unranked
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
858
Unranked
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End