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Red0
31140.2
12541.3
24050.8
Blue0
851.2
21530.7
8580.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012345600

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1254
Unranked
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
85
Unranked
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2405
Unranked
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2153
Unranked
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3114
Unranked
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
858
Unranked
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End