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Red1
940.3
21880.6
8350.7
Blue0
8570.3
660.6
31150.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22011233410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3115
Unranked
0.60.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2188
Unranked
0.60.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
66
Unranked
0.60.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
Unranked
0.30.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
857
Unranked
0.30.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End