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Red2
20000.7
8301.3
851.2
Blue1
27190.3
8580.3
17110.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
Unranked
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1711
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
Unranked
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
858
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2000
Unranked
0.70.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2719
Unranked
0.30.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End