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Red5
26451.7
11890.1
29590.8
Blue3
740.3
22450.4
27712.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2645
Unranked
1.70.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2771
Unranked
2.10.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2959
Unranked
0.80.3
-0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2245
Unranked
0.40.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1189
Unranked
0.10.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
74
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End