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Red3
27190.3
15960.7
25861.9
Blue0
31150.6
940.3
24050.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
Unranked
1.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2405
Unranked
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3115
Unranked
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2719
Unranked
0.30.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
94
Unranked
0.30.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End