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Red7
21880.6
32341.0
33570.8
Blue3
740.3
19183.1
1411.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
Unranked
1.00.5
0.30.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1918
Unranked
3.10.0
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3357
Unranked
0.80.5
0.30.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
141
Unranked
1.20.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2188
Unranked
0.60.5
0.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
74
Unranked
0.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End