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Red2
8301.3
34230.2
18960.3
Blue0
660.6
24741.0
11890.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
Unranked
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2474
Unranked
1.00.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1896
Unranked
0.30.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
66
Unranked
0.60.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3423
Unranked
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1189
Unranked
0.10.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End