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Red2
12541.3
31150.6
15960.7
Blue3
17110.3
1411.2
30980.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1254
Unranked
1.30.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
141
Unranked
1.20.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
Unranked
0.70.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3098
Unranked
0.40.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
Unranked
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1711
Unranked
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End