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Red5
22461.2
12541.3
8580.3
Blue3
31150.6
19183.1
22450.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1254
Unranked
1.30.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1918
Unranked
3.10.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2246
Unranked
1.20.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3115
Unranked
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
Unranked
0.30.3
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2245
Unranked
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End