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Red1
29590.8
30980.4
27190.3
Blue3
24741.0
18960.3
21530.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
Unranked
0.80.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2474
Unranked
1.00.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3098
Unranked
0.40.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2153
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2719
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1896
Unranked
0.30.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End