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Red3
24050.8
21530.7
34230.2
Blue3
31150.6
27712.1
1071.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
Unranked
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2771
Unranked
2.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
Unranked
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
107
Unranked
1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3423
Unranked
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3115
Unranked
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End