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Red2
851.2
8350.7
1411.2
Blue5
740.3
24741.0
29590.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320124567825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
Unranked
1.20.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2474
Unranked
1.00.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
Unranked
1.20.1
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2959
Unranked
0.80.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
835
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
74
Unranked
0.30.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End