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Red5
19183.1
17830.6
27190.3
Blue0
31140.2
33570.8
22450.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30024681050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
3.10.2
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3357
Unranked
0.80.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1783
Unranked
0.60.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2245
Unranked
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2719
Unranked
0.30.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3114
Unranked
0.20.1
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End