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Red3
22450.4
32341.0
29590.8
Blue1
31150.6
34230.2
21880.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21034567831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
Unranked
1.00.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2188
Unranked
0.60.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2959
Unranked
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3115
Unranked
0.60.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2245
Unranked
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3423
Unranked
0.20.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End