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Red3
17110.3
22461.2
33570.8
Blue1
26451.7
9040.7
18960.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
Unranked
1.20.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2645
Unranked
1.70.1
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3357
Unranked
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
904
Unranked
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
Unranked
0.30.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1896
Unranked
0.30.1
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End