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Red6
8580.3
26451.7
19183.1
Blue1
21530.7
8350.7
30980.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5204681061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
3.10.1
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
835
Unranked
0.70.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2645
Unranked
1.70.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2153
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
Unranked
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3098
Unranked
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End