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Red0
24431.2
23481.8
24410.0
Blue2
20902.1
19200.9
29320.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21023456702

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2.10.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1920
#20
0.90.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2441
#25
0.00.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2932
#15
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End