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Red5
29320.6
24371.8
33060.7
Blue3
24391.2
24431.2
24601.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2439
#10
1.20.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3306
#11
0.70.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.20.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2932
#15
0.60.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End