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Red2
24550.9
24770.3
24371.8
Blue3
24670.2
15440.5
24431.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301234567823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1.20.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2455
#28
0.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1544
#22
0.50.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2477
#26
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2467
#24
0.20.2
-0.4-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End