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Red5
23481.8
28960.3
28531.0
Blue3
24770.3
24590.9
24431.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.2
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1.20.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2853
#18
1.00.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2459
#23
0.90.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2896
#21
0.30.2
0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2477
#26
0.30.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End