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Red3
17411.6
30000.7
27830.9
Blue5
31760.6
16460.8
17301.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#13
1.60.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1730
#11
1.30.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2783
#25
0.90.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1646
#33
0.80.3
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3000
#31
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3176
#23
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End