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Red1
10182.1
29090.2
17470.6
Blue3
21710.9
20401.4
21971.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1.70.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
#24
0.60.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2040
#21
1.40.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2909
#37
0.20.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2171
#17
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End