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Red19
10865.4
11147.6
20565.6
Blue9
8304.3
2174.3
15383.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21110515253035199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
7.60.0
7.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
830
Unranked
4.30.1
4.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2056
Unranked
5.60.0
5.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
217
Unranked
4.30.1
4.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1086
Unranked
5.40.0
5.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1538
Unranked
3.20.1
3.43.3
Auto
Teleop
End