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Red10
10382.8
3992.6
16751.6
Blue8
2174.3
27714.1
480.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110152025108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
Unranked
2.80.2
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
217
Unranked
4.30.1
4.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
Unranked
2.60.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2771
Unranked
4.10.1
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1675
Unranked
1.60.2
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
48
Unranked
0.70.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End