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Red8
4471.5
15383.2
1114.6
Blue5
10182.0
8881.9
1351.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1050152085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
4.60.0
4.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1018
Unranked
2.00.0
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
Unranked
3.20.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
888
Unranked
1.90.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
447
Unranked
1.50.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
135
Unranked
1.00.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End