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Red16
2344.4
4612.7
3305.9
Blue7
452.7
15923.8
20565.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11140203040167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
5.90.2
5.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2056
Unranked
5.60.3
6.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
4.40.2
4.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1592
Unranked
3.80.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
Unranked
2.70.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
45
Unranked
2.70.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End