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Red13
14772.6
17471.3
15194.9
Blue4
2921.8
20812.0
16751.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85010152025134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
4.90.3
4.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2081
Unranked
2.00.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
Unranked
2.60.3
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
292
Unranked
1.80.1
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
Unranked
1.30.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1675
Unranked
1.60.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End