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Red16
31384.8
10242.1
17144.9
Blue8
20623.0
4471.5
9105.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111151520168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
Unranked
4.90.3
4.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
910
Unranked
5.50.1
5.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
Unranked
4.80.3
4.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2062
Unranked
3.00.1
3.43.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1024
Unranked
2.10.3
1.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
447
Unranked
1.50.1
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End